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Cost Anomaly

CommunityPopular
ruvnet
cost-anomaly

MAD-based outlier detection on session spend. Robust to the very outliers it hunts (unlike mean+sigma). Surfaces specific anomalous sessions with modified-z scores; optional --alert-on-outliers exit code for CI gates. Distinct from cost-burn (aggregate trend) — this answers "which INDIVIDUAL session is the outlier?".

Overview

Publisherruvnet
Repositoryruflo
Skill namecost-anomaly
Stars
72.7K
Forks
8.6K
Bundled files
Instructions only
LicenseMIT
Links
  • Markdown instructions

    A SKILL.md file the model loads on demand, so it only costs tokens when a request actually matches.

  • Works with any LLM

    AI skills are plain Markdown, not provider-specific code, so this works with GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or a local model.

  • Self-contained

    Everything the model needs lives in the instructions — no extra files to sync.

  • Open source

    Published by ruvnet on GitHub. Read the source before you install it.

Installation

Install the Cost Anomaly AI skill in TypingMind to use it with any LLM, or drop it into another agent that reads SKILL.md.

1

Install in TypingMind

TypingMind installs a skill straight from its GitHub folder — it reads SKILL.md, bundles the resource files, and stores the result locally.

  1. Open the app and go to Plugins → Skills.
  2. Choose "Install from GitHub".
  3. Paste the skill folder URL below and confirm.
  4. Enable the skill in any chat where you want it available.
Plugins → Skills → Add skill → From GitHub URL, then paste the folder URL and press Continue.
2

Install in another agent

Any agent that reads the Agent Skills format can use this skill — copy the folder into that agent's skills directory.

Claude Code — .claude/skills
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ruvnet/ruflo.git /tmp/ruflo
mkdir -p .claude/skills
cp -r /tmp/ruflo/plugins/ruflo-cost-tracker/skills/cost-anomaly .claude/skills/cost-anomaly
Restart Claude Code after copying so it picks up the new skill.

Use it in TypingMind

Enable Cost Anomaly in any TypingMind chat and the model takes it from there. Its name and description sit in the system prompt, and the moment a request matches, the model loads the full instructions itself — you never invoke it by hand, and it costs no tokens until it is actually used.

The model loads Cost Anomaly on its own as soon as a request matches it.

Works with any AI model

AI skills are plain Markdown instructions rather than provider-specific code, so Cost Anomaly is not tied to the model it was written for. Install it once in TypingMind and use it with GPT-5, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Mistral, Llama, or a local model you run yourself — all on your own API keys.

  • Loaded only when it is needed

    The system prompt carries just the name and description. The instructions are fetched on the first matching request, so an idle skill costs nothing.

  • Switch models mid-chat

    Because the skill is instructions rather than code, changing model does not break it — the next model reads the same SKILL.md.

Skill instructions

This is the SKILL.md content the model loads. Read it before installing — a skill is instructions your model will follow.

Per-session outlier detection — the diagnostic counterpart to cost-burn's aggregate-trend signal.

QuestionSkill
"Is the AGGREGATE rate accelerating?"cost-burn
"Which SPECIFIC sessions are anomalous outliers?"cost-anomaly ← this
"Could we have spent less in aggregate?"cost-counterfactual
"When will we hit budget?"cost-projection

Algorithm

Implementation: scripts/anomaly.mjs.

  1. Read all session-* records from cost-tracking namespace.
  2. Filter to --since window (default: all-time).
  3. Compute median(total_cost_usd) and MAD = median(|x - median|).
  4. Per-session modified z-score (Iglewicz-Hoaglin 1993): z = 0.6745 * (x - median) / MAD
  5. Flag sessions with |z| > --threshold (default 3.5).

Why MAD and not mean + sigma?

ApproachWhat breaks
mean + sigmaA single $50 session inflates BOTH mean and sigma so badly that subsequent outliers hide inside the new "normal" band. Catastrophic on small samples.
median + MADBoth estimators ignore up to 50% of the data — the outliers themselves can't shift them. Robust on n=10. The canonical cutoff |z| > 3.5 is from Iglewicz-Hoaglin (1993).

Smoke transcript (5 baseline sessions $0.08-$0.12 + 1 outlier $5.00)

| Sessions considered | 5 |
| Threshold (|modified z|) | 3.5 |
| Median spend | $0.100000 |
| MAD | $0.010000 |
| Min / Max | $0.080000 / $5.000000 |
| **Outliers found** | **1** |

## Outlier sessions
| Session | Spend | Deviation | Modified z | Direction |
| outlier- | $5.000000 | +$4.900000 | 330.505 | high |

Exit codes

$ cost anomaly --alert-on-outliers 1
⚠ ALERT: found 1 outlier session(s) (|modified z| > 3.5); threshold was ≥1
exit 1

$ cost anomaly --alert-on-outliers 5
✓ found 1 outlier session(s); under threshold ≥5 — OK
exit 0

CI integration

bash
# Fail the build if any session this week is a >3.5σ outlier
cost anomaly --since 7d --alert-on-outliers 1 || investigate-bad-session

Most useful when paired with cost-burn:

bash
cost burn  --alert-on-acceleration-pct 50  || page-oncall   # rate-of-change alert
cost anomaly --alert-on-outliers 1         || investigate   # point-anomaly alert

Together they cover "is the average shifting?" AND "is there a single rogue session?" — both can fire independently.

Edge cases

  • n < 3: emit "Insufficient data" message, exit 0. MAD on 1-2 samples is meaningless.
  • MAD = 0: ≥50% of sessions share the exact same spend, so z-scores collapse. Emit explainer instead of dividing by zero. Common cause: dry-run sessions all at $0.
  • Low-direction outliers: usually crashed or dropped sessions, not over-spending. The output table explicitly labels direction so operators interpret correctly.
  • Very small MAD: even tiny absolute deviations produce huge z-scores. The $5 outlier with MAD=$0.01 yields z=330 — that's correct, not a bug.

Direction column

DirectionLikely causeAction
highLong session, stuck in expensive tier, or runaway loopcost report + cost conversation to investigate
lowCrash, dropped session, or unfinished workVerify the session completed normally

Frequently asked questions

What does the Cost Anomaly AI skill do?

MAD-based outlier detection on session spend. Robust to the very outliers it hunts (unlike mean+sigma). Surfaces specific anomalous sessions with modified-z scores; optional --alert-on-outliers exit code for CI gates. Distinct from cost-burn (aggregate trend) — this answers "which INDIVIDUAL session is the outlier?".

Why use Cost Anomaly on TypingMind?

Because you install it once and use it with any model. Cost Anomaly is plain Markdown rather than provider-specific code, so the same skill runs on GPT-5, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or a local model — and you can switch model mid-chat without it breaking. TypingMind runs on your own API keys, so you pay providers directly instead of a per-seat subscription, and your skills and chats stay in your own storage.

How do I install Cost Anomaly in TypingMind?

Open Plugins → Skills → Install from GitHub in TypingMind and paste https://github.com/ruvnet/ruflo/tree/main/plugins/ruflo-cost-tracker/skills/cost-anomaly. TypingMind reads its SKILL.md and installs it as a skill you can enable per chat.

Which AI models can use Cost Anomaly?

Any model you connect in TypingMind. AI skills are plain Markdown instructions rather than provider-specific code, so GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, and local models can all load this skill when a request matches it.

How many AI models can I use with Cost Anomaly?

As many as you like. As long as a model supports skills, you can use Cost Anomaly with it — GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Mistral, Llama and more — all on TypingMind with your own API keys.

Is the Cost Anomaly AI skill free?

Yes. It is published on GitHub by ruvnet under the MIT license. You only pay your own AI provider for the tokens you use.

What are AI skills?

An AI skill is a reusable instruction bundle that teaches an AI model how to do one specific task. It follows the open Agent Skills format: a SKILL.md file with a name and description, plus any scripts, templates or reference files the model may need. The model reads the instructions only when your request matches the skill, so an installed skill costs nothing until it is used.

How are AI skills different from plugins or MCP servers?

A plugin or MCP server gives a model new tools to call — code that runs somewhere and returns a result. An AI skill gives the model knowledge and process instead: how to approach a task, which steps to follow, what good output looks like. Skills are plain Markdown, so they need no server, no API key and no runtime, and they work with any model.

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