Deadline Drift

Organization

Superior-Trade

deadline-drift

Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

Overview

Publisher	Superior-Trade
Repository	`superior-skills`
Skill name	`deadline-drift`
Stars	215
Forks	9
Bundled files	Instructions only
License	MIT
Links	Skill source Repository

Markdown instructions
A SKILL.md file the model loads on demand, so it only costs tokens when a request actually matches.
Works with any LLM
AI skills are plain Markdown, not provider-specific code, so this works with GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or a local model.
Self-contained
Everything the model needs lives in the instructions — no extra files to sync.
Open source
Published by Superior-Trade on GitHub. Read the source before you install it.

Installation

Install the Deadline Drift AI skill in TypingMind to use it with any LLM, or drop it into another agent that reads SKILL.md.

Install in TypingMind

TypingMind installs a skill straight from its GitHub folder — it reads SKILL.md, bundles the resource files, and stores the result locally.

Open the app and go to Plugins → Skills.
Choose "Install from GitHub".
Paste the skill folder URL below and confirm.
https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/deadline-drift
Enable the skill in any chat where you want it available.

Plugins → Skills → Add skill → From GitHub URL, then paste the folder URL and press Continue.

Install in another agent

Any agent that reads the Agent Skills format can use this skill — copy the folder into that agent's skills directory.

Claude Code — .claude/skills

git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git /tmp/superior-skills
mkdir -p .claude/skills
cp -r /tmp/superior-skills/skills/deadline-drift .claude/skills/deadline-drift

Restart Claude Code after copying so it picks up the new skill.

Use it in TypingMind

Enable Deadline Drift in any TypingMind chat and the model takes it from there. Its name and description sit in the system prompt, and the moment a request matches, the model loads the full instructions itself — you never invoke it by hand, and it costs no tokens until it is actually used.

The model loads Deadline Drift on its own as soon as a request matches it.

Works with any AI model

AI skills are plain Markdown instructions rather than provider-specific code, so Deadline Drift is not tied to the model it was written for. Install it once in TypingMind and use it with GPT-5, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Mistral, Llama, or a local model you run yourself — all on your own API keys.

Loaded only when it is needed
The system prompt carries just the name and description. The instructions are fetched on the first matching request, so an idle skill costs nothing.
Switch models mid-chat
Because the skill is instructions rather than code, changing model does not break it — the next model reads the same SKILL.md.

Skill instructions

This is the SKILL.md content the model loads. Read it before installing — a skill is instructions your model will follow.

Strategy: Polymarket · Deadline Drift

When to use

Use this for before-date contracts, monthly/weekly threshold markets, election timing markets, or requests where time remaining is the core thesis.

What the agent should look for

Canonical Polymarket market from GET /context/markets?venue=polymarket.
Reliable market_end from market metadata.
Time remaining during the candidate backtest window.
Probability drift near deadline in the filled history.
Whether the market reprices gradually or with sharp catalyst jumps.
User preference for holding to settlement or exiting earlier.

Backtest fit with filled data

Moderate fit. Filled TradeTick data can show whether price drifted in line with deadline pressure and whether exits would usually occur before binary resolution.

Limit: this does not produce true fair-probability forecasts; it only tests historical price behavior around deadlines.

Strategy logic

Enter when drift aligns with time decay or deadline acceleration. Exit before settlement unless the user explicitly asks for binary exposure into resolution.

Nautilus strategy shape

Use on_trade_tick.
Compare trade timestamp to market_end.
Trade only between min_days_to_end and max_days_to_end.
Exit using an exit_buffer_hours cutoff.

Example strategyConfig

json
{
  "market_end": "2026-07-01T00:00:00Z",
  "min_days_to_end": 2,
  "max_days_to_end": 21,
  "drift_threshold": 0.015,
  "order_size": 10,
  "exit_buffer_hours": 12
}

Iteration knobs

Knob	Effect
`min_days_to_end`	Avoids entering too close to settlement.
`max_days_to_end`	Avoids entering when the deadline is still distant.
`drift_threshold`	Higher values require stronger deadline repricing.
`exit_buffer_hours`	Larger buffers reduce resolution timing risk.

Failure modes

Market rules can resolve differently than expected.
Event risk can overwhelm smooth drift behavior.
Short windows overfit to one cycle.
Holding through settlement can produce binary outcomes unrelated to interim PnL.

User-facing framing

"This strategy trades deadline pressure, not certainty. I will backtest on filled TradeTicks to check whether the historical price drift is consistent and tradable, then suggest only cautious position sizing."

Frequently asked questions

What does the Deadline Drift AI skill do?

Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

Why use Deadline Drift on TypingMind?

Because you install it once and use it with any model. Deadline Drift is plain Markdown rather than provider-specific code, so the same skill runs on GPT-5, Claude, Gemini, Grok, or a local model — and you can switch model mid-chat without it breaking. TypingMind runs on your own API keys, so you pay providers directly instead of a per-seat subscription, and your skills and chats stay in your own storage.

How do I install Deadline Drift in TypingMind?

Open Plugins → Skills → Install from GitHub in TypingMind and paste https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/deadline-drift. TypingMind reads its SKILL.md and installs it as a skill you can enable per chat.

Which AI models can use Deadline Drift?

Any model you connect in TypingMind. AI skills are plain Markdown instructions rather than provider-specific code, so GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, and local models can all load this skill when a request matches it.

How many AI models can I use with Deadline Drift?

As many as you like. As long as a model supports skills, you can use Deadline Drift with it — GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Mistral, Llama and more — all on TypingMind with your own API keys.

Is the Deadline Drift AI skill free?

Yes. It is published on GitHub by Superior-Trade under the MIT license. You only pay your own AI provider for the tokens you use.

What are AI skills?

An AI skill is a reusable instruction bundle that teaches an AI model how to do one specific task. It follows the open Agent Skills format: a SKILL.md file with a name and description, plus any scripts, templates or reference files the model may need. The model reads the instructions only when your request matches the skill, so an installed skill costs nothing until it is used.

How are AI skills different from plugins or MCP servers?

A plugin or MCP server gives a model new tools to call — code that runs somewhere and returns a result. An AI skill gives the model knowledge and process instead: how to approach a task, which steps to follow, what good output looks like. Skills are plain Markdown, so they need no server, no API key and no runtime, and they work with any model.

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Overview

Installation

Install in TypingMind

Install in another agent

Use it in TypingMind

Works with any AI model

Skill instructions

Strategy: Polymarket · Deadline Drift

When to use

What the agent should look for

Backtest fit with filled data

Strategy logic

Nautilus strategy shape

Example strategyConfig

Iteration knobs

Failure modes

User-facing framing

Frequently asked questions

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